Pension buyouts: Who wins and who loses?

Why are employers offering pension buyouts to former employees who have a vested right to a future pension? This is something many readers are asking about the buyout offers they’ve been receiving lately.

This post follows up my previous two posts that showed a pension buyout is unlikely to produce a higher retirement income, compared to simply waiting and receiving a monthly check from your pension plan. While the amount of retirement income is certainly a critical consideration when you’re deciding whether to accept a lump-sum buyout, there are other important considerations as well. This post addresses these issues and wraps up my series of posts on pension buyouts.

Employers are offering pension buyouts as part of a “pension de-risking” strategy. This means that they’re concerned about continued exposure to stock market volatility, and they’d also like to reduce their ongoing plan administration costs.

If your employer offers you a lump-sum cash-out, it’s really placing two bets:

    • That the assets in the pension trust will perform worse than the assumptions the IRS allows your employer to use when calculating lump-sum payments. Currently, the effective interest rates used for this purpose are around 4 percent to 5 percent per year. So employers are betting that their pension assets will consistently earn less than these percentages in future years.
  • That you and your co-workers will live longer as a group than the average life expectancy. Cashing you out now reduces their exposure should you live a long time. This is an important point — lump-sum cash-outs are based on average life expectancy.

If you accept your employer’s lump-sum offer, then you’re on the other side of these bets. In other words, you’re betting that you can invest the proceeds and consistently earn more than 4 or 5 percent per year. To achieve these results, you’ll need to take some risk in the stock market, since interest rates on bonds and CDs are currently below these levels. You’re also betting that you’ll die before your average life expectancy; for the general population, there’s about a 50-50 chance a person of that happening.

If you decline the lump-sum offer, then you’re betting that you won’t be able to invest the lump sum and consistently earn more than 4 or 5 percent per year, and that you’ll live beyond your average life expectancy.

Are there other considerations?

Yes. Some people would rather have access to their money immediately, and maximizing their retirement income isn’t a top priority. For these people, it might be more important for them to be able to leave their lump-sum payment as a legacy to their children or charities, an option that isn’t possible if they choose to receive a monthly income from the plan.

If I decline the offer, can my employer decide not to pay my monthly income?

Federal law requires that your former employer pay your monthly income according to the terms of the pension plan. It can’t change its mind and decide not to pay you. If another company acquires your former employer, the same rules apply.

What if I decline the buyout and my employer later goes bankrupt or is acquired?

Pension plan assets are held in a trust that is protected from creditors. Federal law requires that these assets be used to pay plan participants the pension that is owed them.

If your pension plan’s assets are insufficient to meet its obligations, then the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) will pay your benefit, subject to certain limits. The PBGC is a federal agency that guarantees private pensions. Corporate pension plan sponsors are required by federal law to participate in the PBGC’s pension insurance program.

In 2012, the maximum monthly pension payable at age 65 that the PBGC guarantees is $4,653 for a single life annuity and $4,188 for a 50-percent, joint-and-survivor annuity. Lower limits apply to pensions payable at earlier retirement ages. If your monthly pension is below these limits, then you don’t need to worry about the bankruptcy of your former employer.

Once again, if another company acquires your former employer, that company is required by federal law to adequately fund the pension plan of the company it purchased and participate in the PBGC program.

What happens if I decline the lump sum offer and die before my monthly income starts?

If you’re married when you die, then federal law requires that a monthly retirement income be paid to your surviving spouse when you would have been eligible to start payments. If you’re not married, then there’s no legal requirement for a death benefit, and any death benefit would depend on the specific terms of your pension plan.

If you’re single and are in poor health, this could be one reason to elect the pension buyout. But don’t let the lack of a death benefit influence you too much; if there’s a good chance you’ll survive until your retirement age, then the amount of monthly income could still be the deciding factor.

I’ve prepared a longer article on my website that goes into more details on the pros and cons of a lump-sum payment from a pension plan, including a checklist of reasons when it makes sense to elect a lump sum or the monthly income.

If you’re offered a lump-sum buyout, your election is one of the most important financial decisions you’ll ever make. It’s well worth your time and effort to learn as much as you can in order to make the best decision for your circumstances. Good luck!

Steve Vernon

 

Steve Vernon is a featured writer on the CBS MoneyWatch Retirement blog, a Research Fellow at the California Institute of Finance, and a Featured Contributor here on the CIF Blog

Should you accept a pension buyout? A closer look

My last post analyzed a reader’s pension buyout offer, and showed that “Jim” would most likely receive a higher retirement income by simply staying in the plan until retirement and receiving the monthly income under the plan. Jim, currently age 51, is entitled to receive a monthly retirement income of $1,870 beginning at age 65. His company has offered Jim $126,000 payable immediately to forgo the monthly income at age 65.

I estimated the amount of retirement income Jim could generate from the $126,000 payment under three different methods of generating retirement income. This post provides details on the calculations; you’ll want to read my last post for more background on Jim’s circumstances.

Option 1: Invest his lump sum now, and buy an immediate annuity at age 65.

Jim could invest his lump sum until age 65 and, at that time, buy an immediate annuity from an insurance company that pays a retirement income for the rest of his life. Let’s suppose Jim invests in a portfolio balanced between stocks and bonds and earns 6 percent per year from age 51 to age 65; in this case, his $126,000 lump sum payment would grow to almost $285,000. This amount would buy a monthly income of about $1,540, using current annuity purchase rates for a 65 year-old man from Hueler’s Income Solutions annuity bidding platform.

For Jim to invest his money for 14 years and then buy a monthly annuity of $1,870 — the amount he’s guaranteed from the XYZ Company Pension Plan — he’d need to earn about 7.5 percent per year for 14 years. While that’s possible, he would need to take substantial risk in the stock market to earn 7.5 percent per year — or even 6 percent per year. And he could earn a lot less, or even lose money in the stock market. So this doesn’t seem like a reasonable way to generate a reliable retirement income that’s higher than $1,870 per month.

Option 2: Buy a deferred lifetime annuity.

Jim could take his lump sum and buy a deferred lifetime annuity from an insurance company that starts at age 65. New York Life is one of the largest providers of deferred fixed annuities, and I used their annuity rates to estimate that Jim could buy a monthly annuity of between $1,250 to $1,450 with a current investment of $126,000. I had to estimate the annuity because their rate sheet doesn’t have annuities that are deferred 14 years from age 51 to age 65. So this route would definitely not generate a higher monthly income.

Option 3: Invest his lump sum, and use systematic withdrawals at age 65.

Jim could invest the $126,000 in a portfolio balanced between stocks and bonds and, when he retires at age 65, start withdrawing from his portfolio cautiously to avoid running out of money before he dies. Many financial planners advocate using the “four percent rule” that generates an initial annual retirement income of four percent of the account balance. Although some analysts have currently been questioning whether a four percent rule is safe considering the current low level of interest rates and the potential for high fees for investment management and/or financial advisors, for the sake of argument, let’s still use a four percent withdrawal rule.

Suppose again that Jim earns 6 percent per year from age 51 to age 65, and that his lump sum payment grows to about $285,000 by age 65. Four percent of this amount would generate an annual retirement income of $11,400, or a monthly income of $950.

Let’s now suppose that Jim earns 10 percent per year from age 51 to age 65 — quite a stretch and something that would require Jim to take a lot of risk in the stock market. Then his $126,000 lump sum payment would grow to almost $480,000; four percent of this amount generates an annual retirement income of $19,200, or $1,600 per month.

So it looks like investing his lump sum payment and using systematic withdrawals to generate retirement income also won’t beat taking $1,870 per month from XYZ’s pension plan.

By the way, the results of the analyses for the first two options aren’t knocks on Hueler’s Income Solutions or New York Life; both of these institutions deliver competitively priced annuity products. As noted in my prior post, the IRS allows pension plans to use actuarial assumptions to calculate pension cashouts that are more favorable than realistic assumptions used by commercial insurance companies.

These analyses show that it would be very unlikely for Jim to be able to generate a monthly income from his lump sum payment that’s greater than simply taking the monthly retirement income from the XYZ Pension Plan. Stay tuned for my third and final post on this topic, which looks at considerations other than the amount of retirement income, and answers some questions that individuals commonly ask about these buyout offers.

Steve Vernon

 

Steve Vernon is a featured writer on the CBS MoneyWatch Retirement blog, a Research Fellow at the California Institute of Finance, and a Featured Contributor here on the CIF Blog

Should you accept a pension buyout?

Should you accept a lump sum cash-out of your pension from a former employer? A number of readers have received such an offer and have asked me whether this is a good idea. If you have a sizable pension, this is one of the most important financial decisions you’ll make, so it pays to carefully consider the pros and cons.

One of our readers sent me his cash-out election kit to analyze (To protect his privacy, I’ll call him “Jim” and refer to his former employer as XYZ Company.) Let’s take a detailed look at Jim’s offer. If you have a similar pension buyout offer, our considerations and conclusions for Jim will likely also apply to you.

Most Americans don’t have sufficient financial resources for a traditional retirement of “not working” starting in their mid-60s. As a result, they’ll need to squeeze the most reliable lifetime retirement income from their existing resources. So let’s take a look at Jim’s cash-out pension offer to see how he can maximize his retirement income.

Jim is 51 years old and is married to Jo, who’s 49. Jim worked for many years at XYZ Company, but he’s since terminated his employment with XYZ and now works for another company; in pension lingo, Jim is a “vested termination.” Most buyout offers made today are for former employees with a vested pension benefit who haven’t yet started their retirement income. These buyouts typically aren’t offered to retirees who’ve already started their pension, although Ford and GM made headlines earlier this year by offering buyouts to current retirees.

XYZ Company gave Jim a choice of one of the following options:

  • He can keep his lifetime monthly pension of $1,870 per month, starting at age 65
  • He can elect a lump sum of $126,000 that will be paid to him immediately
  • He can immediately start a lifetime monthly pension of $656 per month

If Jim elects the monthly pension, then he can also elect a joint-and-survivor annuity that would continue monthly income to his wife Jo after Jim passes away.

Because Jim is currently working, it makes no sense to start his pension immediately, so we’ll dismiss that option from the get-go.

So here’s the real question: If Jim takes the lump sum, can he generate a lifetime monthly income at age 65 that’s bigger than $1,870 per month? As it turns out, after working through the numbers, I determined that it will be hard for Jim to do this. I estimated Jim’s retirement income if he had elected the lump sum cash-out and used three different options to generate retirement income:

  • Option #1: Invest his lump sum now, and buy an immediate annuity at age 65
  • Option #2: Buy a deferred lifetime annuity from an insurance company that starts at age 65
  • Option #3: Invest his lump sum, and use systematic withdrawals at age 65 under the “4 percent rule”

The graph below compares the estimated retirement income under these three options to the retirement income he’ll get if he simply waits and takes the monthly retirement income from the XYZ Company Pension Plan.

The graph shows that it would be very unlikely for Jim to be able to generate a monthly income from his lump-sum payment that’s greater than simply taking the monthly retirement income from the XYZ Pension Plan.

Why does the XYZ Pension Plan generate more income than the three options? The answer depends on the specific option.

The first two options involve buying an annuity from a commercial insurance company. The IRS allows employer-sponsored pension plans to use actuarial assumptions for determining lump sum cash-outs that are more favorable than the assumptions that insurance companies use to price their annuities. In addition, insurance companies need to build in margins for profit and administrative expenses, while employers operate their pension plans on a nonprofit basis.

With the third option — systematic withdrawals — the so-called “safe” withdrawal rate is purposely set conservatively so the retirement savings can withstand “worst-case” scenarios (for example, the retiree living well beyond average life expectancies or experiencing poor investment returns).

Stay tuned for my next post on this topic, which explains my calculations in more detail. A third post will discuss considerations other than the amount of retirement income, and answers some questions that individuals commonly ask about these buyout offers.

Steve Vernon

 

Steve Vernon is a featured writer on the CBS MoneyWatch Retirement blog, a Research Fellow at the California Institute of Finance, and a Featured Contributor here on the CIF Blog

Study: Serious lack of knowledge about retirement income

Americans are dangerously uninformed about how much savings they need to have on hand to fund a comfortable retirement and how to deploy those savings to generate a reliable retirement income. That’s the conclusion I drew from a recent Wells Fargo study on retirement issues facing middle class Americans.

When middle class Americans were asked how much savings they’d need for retirement, the median answer was $300,000. To date, the median retirement savings these survey respondents actually reported was just $25,000. We have a problem!

When asked how much of their retirement savings they could withdraw during retirement, respondents’ median answer was 10 percent. But if you withdraw from your savings at this rate, there’s an overwhelming chance you’ll experience “money death” before you experience actual death. According to a recent post by retirement expert Dr. Wade Pfau, there’s a very good chance that a withdrawal rate of 10 percent will result in a retirement savings that’s exhausted in 10 to 20 years — well short of the expected average lifetime of people currently in their mid-60s.

Let’s look at it another way. If you withdrew 10 percent from retirement savings of $300,000, your annual retirement income would be $30,000. Combined with your income from Social Security, it might be possible to have a livable retirement. And many people will be tempted to withdraw at this rate at the beginning of their retirement so they can afford their dream retirement and hope their money will last. But hope is not a good strategy.

Instead, many experts suggest a withdrawal rate of 3-1/2 or 4 percent per year. At that rate, $300,000 in retirement savings would produce an annual retirement income of $10,500 to $12,000; it’ll be tougher to be comfortable in retirement with this level of income.

You could generate reliable retirement income higher than 3-1/2 or 4 percent by purchasing an immediate annuity; annuity payout rates can be 50 percent higher than with systematic withdrawals.

But each method of producing retirement income has its pros and cons, with differing amounts of retirement income. Learning how to generate reliable retirement income is the subject of my latest book, Money for Life: How to Generate a Lifetime Retirement Paycheck.

It’s well worth your time deciding how to draw down your retirement savings and determining how much money you really need to retire. This can help you make important life decisions about when you can afford to retire, whether you need to work during your retirement years, and how much to pare back your living expenses to make your savings last. But you’re much better off planning ahead rather than waiting until your money runs out and having limited options.

Steve Vernon

 

Steve Vernon is a featured writer on the CBS MoneyWatch Retirement blog, a Research Fellow at the California Institute of Finance, and a Featured Contributor here on the CIF Blog

5 retirement planning tips for single women

Single women face significant retirement planning challenges, whether they’ve always been single or are now divorced or widowed. If you’re a single woman, you’ll be making most, if not all, of your financial planning decisions by yourself, so you’re largely on your own to make sure you’re financially secure during your retirement years. To do that, you’ll want to learn as much as you can to make the best use of your financial and social resources.

To help with this goal, I’d like to suggest the following five retirement planning tips for single women.

Tip 1: Plan, plan, plan.

Numerous surveys show that about half of all Americans retire without doing any planning to see if their retirement savings will generate a reliable lifetime retirement income or to determine the best strategy for claiming Social Security benefits. Many people actually spend more time planning their next vacation than planning for a period in their lives that could last 20 or 30 years or more.

Taking a realistic look at your financial resources can give you a wake-up call that you need to make important life decisions, such as how long you’ll need to work, whether you should change jobs in order to generate more income, work longer, or find work that your enjoy. You’ll also need to determine whether you need to pare back your living expenses, either now or during your retirement years.

You may need to hire a retirement advisor to help you with these decisions; make sure this person is compensated to have your best interests at heart by paying a fee rather than a commission or transaction charge. Also make sure your planner has the credentials that demonstrate expertise with retirement planning (which is different from investment advice).

Tip 2: Delay starting Social Security.

For many women, Social Security will be your primary source of reliable retirement income. As a result, it pays to get the most from this valuable benefit.

For most single people, whether they’re male or female, the best strategy is to delay starting Social Security as long as you can, since your income will be increased substantially for every year you delay.

Tip 3: Use retirement savings to generate reliable lifetime income.

Learn how to use your IRA and 401(k) accounts to generate a lifetime retirement income. Too many people simply spend the money in their retirement savings as needed, and they withdraw at a rate that’s too high to make their money last as long as they live. The inevitable result is that they’ll run out of money before they pass away.

There are many ways to generate reliable retirement income, each having its own pros and cons, and each generating a different amount of retirement income. Take the time to determine which method, or methods, of generating retirement income will work the best for your circumstances.

Tip 4: Get serious about taking care of your health.

You can significantly reduce the odds of incurring disabling and expensive diseases by getting fanatic about nutrition and exercise. Although you can’t entirely eliminate the odds of incurring these diseases, you can take simple steps to improve your health. A nice side effect is that you’ll look and feel better now, and if you do incur a disease or medical condition at some point in the future, you’ll be in better shape to recover.

Tip 5: Nurture your network.

Having friends and relatives who care about you will not only increase your enjoyment during your retirement years, but they can help out if you have a medical event or other emergency. One of the biggest retirement challenges is loneliness, which can also be a threat to your health.

You can band together with friends and family to share resources, which will help reduce your living expenses. You might even decide to live together; this helps both reduce your living expenses and address the issue of loneliness.

To learn more about the retirement planning issues facing single women, a good source is The Single Woman’s Guide to Retirement by Jan Cullinane. This book offers holistic guidance on a variety of retirement planning issues, ranging from lifestyle and health to money. In addition to Cullinane’s book, I’ve prepared a free, online 12-week retirement course that guides you through each step of the retirement planning process. You won’t regret the time you spend planning the most important time of your life — the rest of your life!

Steve Vernon

 

Steve Vernon is a featured writer on the CBS MoneyWatch Retirement blog, a Research Fellow at the California Institute of Finance, and a Featured Contributor here on the CIF Blog