What if your pension runs out of money?

The zero-interest-rate policy in the U.S. continues to wreak havoc on those saving for retirement.

Case in point: Many companies are pouring cash into their defined benefit pension plans because of the low interest rates, according to a report this week in The Wall Street Journal. According to the report, companies are required to calculate the present value of the future pension liabilities—how much they need to pay out to retirees—by using a so-called discount rate, which based on corporate bond yields. As those rates fall, the liabilities rise. And as those liabilities increase, companies make up the difference by pouring cash into their plans.

So what does this trend portend for workers at the firms that have traditional defined benefit plans? What should workers do at firms where this might be happening or could happen? And what might small employers who have defined benefit plans consider doing to avoid problems?

Prepare for the worst

Not surprisingly, some experts say there’s plenty to worry about, others say this trend is much ado about nothing, and still others say workers with a defined benefit plan—funded or not—should be thankful for what they have.

At one extreme is Ary Rosenbaum, an ERISA/retirement plan attorney for his firm, The Rosenbaum Law Firm. He says workers ought to prepare for the possibility that their employer will freeze their pension benefit or terminate the plan.

And if that should happen, consider, at a minimum, increasing the amount of money you contribute to other retirement accounts, such as an IRA or 401(k) to make up for what you might lose in pension payments.

Others, meanwhile, say that workers whose employers have a well-funded pension plan need not worry as much about their plans being frozen or terminated. “Workers at healthy firms shouldn’t worry, because the company stands behind the promise,” said Ron Surz, president of Target Date Solutions. “That said, I don’t think there are many defined benefit corporate plans left. Defined benefit plans are now mostly union and government plans.”

Companies are pouring cash into pension plans

Some of America’s biggest companies are shifting cash that could be used for development or expansion into pension funds as low interest rates designed to spur the economy push up pension liabilities.

And still others remind us that there’s not much a worker can do whether a plan is funded or underfunded. “First, workers have very little influence over the actual funding requirements of true pension plans,” said Christine Russell, a retirement strategist for Christine Russell Retirement Consulting. “The amount a company must fund is determined through complicated formulas calculated by actuaries.”

So what can employee today do if they are covered by a pension? “Thank their employer for continuing the pension plan,” she said. “Many companies no longer offer such plans, so an employee covered by a pension is a lucky person, indeed.”

What’s more, she said employees should let the human resources/employee benefit department know that they value this benefit. “Often, it can seem like this substantial and important benefit is ignored by employees,” she said.

By way of background, there are more than 27,500 private-sector defined benefit plans covering more than 44 million American workers, according to the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation.

You can learn more about how employers can terminate a pension plan or how to check if your plan is underfunded at General FAQs about PBGC.

To be fair, it’s possible that this trend where firms pour cash into defined benefit plans may not continue, or at least it won’t at some of the country’s largest companies.

The aggregate deficit in pension plans sponsored by S&P 1500 companies decreased by $74 billion to $482 billion as of the end of January 2013, according to report released this week by Mercer. What’s more, Mercer said in its release that the funded ratio (assets divided by liabilities) improved 3%, up from 74% to 77% during the month. This deficit compares to an aggregate pension deficit of $557 billion on Dec. 31, 2012 and is a slight improvement over the $484 billion deficit and funded ratio of 75% at the end of 2011, the company said.

According to Mercer, the improvement of the past month was driven by strong equity markets, which gained more than 5% in the period, and an increase in interest rates of about 15 to 20 basis points, which reduces liabilities, the company said.

Still, the company cautioned defined-benefit pension watchers: “Before sponsors celebrate too much, it is important to realize we have had numerous examples over the past few years of funded status improvements quickly being wiped out by adverse market movements,” Jonathan Barry, a partner in Mercer’s retirement business, said in a release. “In both 2011 and 2012 there were monthly improvements in funded status early in the year, only to experience market conditions that saw year-end funding levels below the start of the year.”

Russell noted, for instance, that while funding amounts today seem substantial, during good performing years companies are permitted to fund less. “The market performance of the pension investments reduces the amount of cash the company needs to contribute to the pension,” she said. “And there are even some years where the company may not have to fund the plan at all.”

In addition, even during the best of times, some companies didn’t fund all of the pension contribution required, Russell said. “When that lack of full contribution is followed by a few years of market underperformance the required contribution to the pension goes up substantially,” she said. “As we know, there is usually a cost to procrastination; this is true especially where pension contributions are concerned.”

So what’s a worker with a defined benefit plan to do? Keep a close eye on the funded status of your plan, consult with a qualified expert about the health of your defined benefit, prepare for the possibility of your employer freezing or dropping your defined benefit plan, consider—regardless of the funded status of your plan—upping the amount you contribute to other retirement plans such as a 401(k) or IRA.

Small employers may have to freeze plans too

Meanwhile, small employers should consider freezing their plans at one extreme or, if nothing else, investing the assets in the plan differently.

Rosenbaum, for instance, said small employers that have a defined benefit pension may need to consider freezing their plans if they still accrue a benefit or develop a plan to terminate the plan. He noted that employers can amortize their underfunding over a seven-year period.

Others, meanwhile, suggest that small employers ought to consider shutting down their defined benefit plan and establishing a 401(k) plan. “Small corporate employers who have not yet established a defined contribution may want to do so, and if they do, they should plan on providing serious employee education,” said Surz.

By contrast, Russell doesn’t think small employers should shut down their pension plans. But they should make every effort to diversify their pool of pension assets appropriately. “When performance of the investments is greatly reduced, the company has to make up for it in larger out-of-pocket pension contributions,” Russell said. Relying on just a few asset classes in the plan might cause the pension portfolio to be too closely correlated with the stock market.”

The pension portfolio is then subject, she said, to the stock market‘s lack of performance. “Using some asset classes uncorrelated to the stock market, to broaden diversification can help with this problem,” Russell said.

In addition, some small employers may want to talk to their actuary about changing their funding formula, Russell said. “There are restrictions on what can be done, so keeping in communication with the actuary and exploring all options is important, especially if the portfolio has not performing as expected,” she said.

In addition, Russell said small employers should review their pension portfolio performance regularly to catch a problem early, and possibly save them some out-of pocket pension contributions.

Retirement Expert: Robert Powell

 

Robert Powell is a featured writer on the MarketWatch Retirement blog, a Research Fellow at the California Institute of Finance, and  a Featured Contributor here on the CIF blog.

Pension buyouts: Who wins and who loses?

Why are employers offering pension buyouts to former employees who have a vested right to a future pension? This is something many readers are asking about the buyout offers they’ve been receiving lately.

This post follows up my previous two posts that showed a pension buyout is unlikely to produce a higher retirement income, compared to simply waiting and receiving a monthly check from your pension plan. While the amount of retirement income is certainly a critical consideration when you’re deciding whether to accept a lump-sum buyout, there are other important considerations as well. This post addresses these issues and wraps up my series of posts on pension buyouts.

Employers are offering pension buyouts as part of a “pension de-risking” strategy. This means that they’re concerned about continued exposure to stock market volatility, and they’d also like to reduce their ongoing plan administration costs.

If your employer offers you a lump-sum cash-out, it’s really placing two bets:

    • That the assets in the pension trust will perform worse than the assumptions the IRS allows your employer to use when calculating lump-sum payments. Currently, the effective interest rates used for this purpose are around 4 percent to 5 percent per year. So employers are betting that their pension assets will consistently earn less than these percentages in future years.

 

  • That you and your co-workers will live longer as a group than the average life expectancy. Cashing you out now reduces their exposure should you live a long time. This is an important point — lump-sum cash-outs are based on average life expectancy.

If you accept your employer’s lump-sum offer, then you’re on the other side of these bets. In other words, you’re betting that you can invest the proceeds and consistently earn more than 4 or 5 percent per year. To achieve these results, you’ll need to take some risk in the stock market, since interest rates on bonds and CDs are currently below these levels. You’re also betting that you’ll die before your average life expectancy; for the general population, there’s about a 50-50 chance a person of that happening.

If you decline the lump-sum offer, then you’re betting that you won’t be able to invest the lump sum and consistently earn more than 4 or 5 percent per year, and that you’ll live beyond your average life expectancy.

Are there other considerations?

Yes. Some people would rather have access to their money immediately, and maximizing their retirement income isn’t a top priority. For these people, it might be more important for them to be able to leave their lump-sum payment as a legacy to their children or charities, an option that isn’t possible if they choose to receive a monthly income from the plan.

If I decline the offer, can my employer decide not to pay my monthly income?

Federal law requires that your former employer pay your monthly income according to the terms of the pension plan. It can’t change its mind and decide not to pay you. If another company acquires your former employer, the same rules apply.

What if I decline the buyout and my employer later goes bankrupt or is acquired?

Pension plan assets are held in a trust that is protected from creditors. Federal law requires that these assets be used to pay plan participants the pension that is owed them.

If your pension plan’s assets are insufficient to meet its obligations, then the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) will pay your benefit, subject to certain limits. The PBGC is a federal agency that guarantees private pensions. Corporate pension plan sponsors are required by federal law to participate in the PBGC’s pension insurance program.

In 2012, the maximum monthly pension payable at age 65 that the PBGC guarantees is $4,653 for a single life annuity and $4,188 for a 50-percent, joint-and-survivor annuity. Lower limits apply to pensions payable at earlier retirement ages. If your monthly pension is below these limits, then you don’t need to worry about the bankruptcy of your former employer.

Once again, if another company acquires your former employer, that company is required by federal law to adequately fund the pension plan of the company it purchased and participate in the PBGC program.

What happens if I decline the lump sum offer and die before my monthly income starts?

If you’re married when you die, then federal law requires that a monthly retirement income be paid to your surviving spouse when you would have been eligible to start payments. If you’re not married, then there’s no legal requirement for a death benefit, and any death benefit would depend on the specific terms of your pension plan.

If you’re single and are in poor health, this could be one reason to elect the pension buyout. But don’t let the lack of a death benefit influence you too much; if there’s a good chance you’ll survive until your retirement age, then the amount of monthly income could still be the deciding factor.

I’ve prepared a longer article on my website that goes into more details on the pros and cons of a lump-sum payment from a pension plan, including a checklist of reasons when it makes sense to elect a lump sum or the monthly income.

If you’re offered a lump-sum buyout, your election is one of the most important financial decisions you’ll ever make. It’s well worth your time and effort to learn as much as you can in order to make the best decision for your circumstances. Good luck!

Steve Vernon

 

Steve Vernon is a featured writer on the CBS MoneyWatch Retirement blog, a Research Fellow at the California Institute of Finance, and a Featured Contributor here on the CIF Blog

Should you accept a pension buyout? A closer look

My last post analyzed a reader’s pension buyout offer, and showed that “Jim” would most likely receive a higher retirement income by simply staying in the plan until retirement and receiving the monthly income under the plan. Jim, currently age 51, is entitled to receive a monthly retirement income of $1,870 beginning at age 65. His company has offered Jim $126,000 payable immediately to forgo the monthly income at age 65.

I estimated the amount of retirement income Jim could generate from the $126,000 payment under three different methods of generating retirement income. This post provides details on the calculations; you’ll want to read my last post for more background on Jim’s circumstances.

Option 1: Invest his lump sum now, and buy an immediate annuity at age 65.

Jim could invest his lump sum until age 65 and, at that time, buy an immediate annuity from an insurance company that pays a retirement income for the rest of his life. Let’s suppose Jim invests in a portfolio balanced between stocks and bonds and earns 6 percent per year from age 51 to age 65; in this case, his $126,000 lump sum payment would grow to almost $285,000. This amount would buy a monthly income of about $1,540, using current annuity purchase rates for a 65 year-old man from Hueler’s Income Solutions annuity bidding platform.

For Jim to invest his money for 14 years and then buy a monthly annuity of $1,870 — the amount he’s guaranteed from the XYZ Company Pension Plan — he’d need to earn about 7.5 percent per year for 14 years. While that’s possible, he would need to take substantial risk in the stock market to earn 7.5 percent per year — or even 6 percent per year. And he could earn a lot less, or even lose money in the stock market. So this doesn’t seem like a reasonable way to generate a reliable retirement income that’s higher than $1,870 per month.

Option 2: Buy a deferred lifetime annuity.

Jim could take his lump sum and buy a deferred lifetime annuity from an insurance company that starts at age 65. New York Life is one of the largest providers of deferred fixed annuities, and I used their annuity rates to estimate that Jim could buy a monthly annuity of between $1,250 to $1,450 with a current investment of $126,000. I had to estimate the annuity because their rate sheet doesn’t have annuities that are deferred 14 years from age 51 to age 65. So this route would definitely not generate a higher monthly income.

Option 3: Invest his lump sum, and use systematic withdrawals at age 65.

Jim could invest the $126,000 in a portfolio balanced between stocks and bonds and, when he retires at age 65, start withdrawing from his portfolio cautiously to avoid running out of money before he dies. Many financial planners advocate using the “four percent rule” that generates an initial annual retirement income of four percent of the account balance. Although some analysts have currently been questioning whether a four percent rule is safe considering the current low level of interest rates and the potential for high fees for investment management and/or financial advisors, for the sake of argument, let’s still use a four percent withdrawal rule.

Suppose again that Jim earns 6 percent per year from age 51 to age 65, and that his lump sum payment grows to about $285,000 by age 65. Four percent of this amount would generate an annual retirement income of $11,400, or a monthly income of $950.

Let’s now suppose that Jim earns 10 percent per year from age 51 to age 65 — quite a stretch and something that would require Jim to take a lot of risk in the stock market. Then his $126,000 lump sum payment would grow to almost $480,000; four percent of this amount generates an annual retirement income of $19,200, or $1,600 per month.

So it looks like investing his lump sum payment and using systematic withdrawals to generate retirement income also won’t beat taking $1,870 per month from XYZ’s pension plan.

By the way, the results of the analyses for the first two options aren’t knocks on Hueler’s Income Solutions or New York Life; both of these institutions deliver competitively priced annuity products. As noted in my prior post, the IRS allows pension plans to use actuarial assumptions to calculate pension cashouts that are more favorable than realistic assumptions used by commercial insurance companies.

These analyses show that it would be very unlikely for Jim to be able to generate a monthly income from his lump sum payment that’s greater than simply taking the monthly retirement income from the XYZ Pension Plan. Stay tuned for my third and final post on this topic, which looks at considerations other than the amount of retirement income, and answers some questions that individuals commonly ask about these buyout offers.

Steve Vernon

 

Steve Vernon is a featured writer on the CBS MoneyWatch Retirement blog, a Research Fellow at the California Institute of Finance, and a Featured Contributor here on the CIF Blog

Retirement planning: Just tell me what to do

Retired Couple(MoneyWatch) I constantly urge people to take the necessary time to plan for retirement, and I encourage people to hang in there. While it can take many hours to do the job right, it’ll be worth it in the end.

In spite of my encouraging words, a common response I hear is, “Steve, just tell me what to do! I just don’t have the time to figure it out. It’s all Greek to me, and I don’t want to screw it up.”

This typical response has inspired me to create a new
series of blog posts, where I’ll describe some strategies you can use to generate a retirement paycheck that are simple to understand and implement. If you follow these strategies, you’ll enjoy a retirement income that you can’t outlive, while protecting a large part of your savings against inflation. I’ll also offer some ideas to protect against things going wrong, such as market downturns and expensive bills for medical and long-term care. By following my tips, you’ll also get a fair shake from the financial institutions you deal with. (Because it will take a few posts to describe these strategies, please stay tuned for more posts later this week.)

When it comes to generating retirement income, there’s no single magic bullet that will provide the income you need. You’ll need to piece together two to four retirement paychecks to help you achieve your financial goals: Social Security, pensions, retirement savings such as IRAs and 401(k) accounts, and employment. In this post, we’ll take a look
at the first two.

Social Security

Social Security is a great retirement paycheck source. It delivers a monthly retirement income that’s guaranteed to last the rest of your life, no matter how long you live and no matter what happens in the economy. It’s indexed for inflation, and part or all of your income is exempt from federal income taxes.

For these reasons, it’s a good strategy to delay drawing Social Security benefits as long as you can, since your income is increased for each month you delay starting benefits after age 62. I recommend that you wait at least until age 66, the full retirement age for current retirees. Better yet, wait until age 70, when your Social Security income maxes out; there are no further increases for delaying Social Security after age 70.

If you’re married, delaying your benefits works best for the main breadwinner in the family, typically the husband. It gets trickier when you’re deciding when to start drawing the other spouse’
s Social Security income. But, in the spirit of giving “simple to follow” advice, here goes: If you two are roughly the same age, the secondary breadwinner should wait until they reach age 66 to begin their Social Security benefits. If there’s a big difference in your ages, say three years or more, it’s OK to start the spouse’s Social Security income at age 62.

Your pension

If you’re one of the lucky few who has a significant income from a defined benefit plan at work, you’ll want to make the most of this valuable benefit. The strategies described here apply to traditional pension plans as well as newer plans such as cash balance or pension equity plans.

With these types of plans, you have the ability to receive a monthly income that’s paid for the rest of your life, no matter how long you live. With most plans, your monthly income is fixed and won’t increase for inflation; however, a few plans have some inflation protection.

My first piece of advice is
this: If you’re offered a lump sum payment instead of the monthly income option, decline this alternative. It will be very hard to take that lump sum and invest it in such a way that you’ll generate a lifetime retirement income that’s higher than the paycheck that’s generated by the monthly income option. Resist claims by financial advisors who urge you to take the lump sum and invest it with them. There’s a very good chance they can’t deliver a higher lifetime retirement income.

Next, you should delay starting your pension benefits at least until you’ve hit the normal retirement age for the plan. Typically this is age 65, but a few plans max out benefits at an earlier age. With most plans, delaying your benefits will increase your monthly paycheck. With many plans, your income also increases if you delay commencement beyond the normal retirement age, so if you enjoy your work, consider this possibility as well.

Finally, if you’re married, elect the joint and survivor payment option
that continues income to your spouse after you pass away. I suggest choosing a continuation percentage of either 66-2/3, 75, or 100 percent (the 50-percent joint and survivor option doesn’t provide enough protection to the surviving spouse). Resist claims by crafty insurance agents to take the life-only option and buy insurance to protect your spouse.

It’s important to realize that with employer-sponsored defined benefit plans, your employer offers these plans only to benefit their employees. Your employer doesn’t profit from these plans, and in fact your employer spends a lot of money to operate them on your behalf. Anybody else, whether an insurance agent or financial advisor, stands to profit if you invest with them. Your employer is more likely to have your best interests at heart.

That’s it for these two sources of retirement income. See how simple that was?

How to maximize
your Social Security payouts

Pension plan lump sum payments: Why you should avoid them

Stay tuned for my next post, which will cover generating a retirement paycheck from your IRA and 401(k), and working during your retirement years.

Visit the California Institute of Finance’s Website to learn more about our MBA In Financial Planning.

Steve Vernon

 

Steve Vernon is a featured writer on the CBS MoneyWatch Retirement blog, a Research Fellow at the California Institute
of Finance, and a Featured Contributor here on the “Advisor Blog”.